The Georgia Defense has arguably been the best defense so far among all 130 FBS teams. If you stood there for 2,500 hands (or roughly 100 hours of live poker) this probability increased to almost 50%. Now that we've covered most of the important long-shot odds, let’s look at some more streaks. Free bet terms, payment method, and country restrictions apply. That means they never fold their hand until it’s impossible for them to make that royal flush. All Free Bets must be wagered within 30 days. Actually, it doesn't. Now anyone can be dealt 83o twice in row and might not even notice this coincidence (because, who cares about those low cards). So, over a long enough sample, you're practically guaranteed to flop one of those powerhouse hands. If you're playing heads-up you're only up against one opponent. That is not folding pockets eights or better and not folding possible straight flushes. Alabama plays in the SEC West which is weaker than usual this year due to both Auburn and LSU not doing as well as projected. In 2016 and 2018, Alabama won the national championship. A long-shot bet is a wager that totally defies the odds. There are 1,326 different hole-card combinations in Texas Hold'em poker and 6 of them are aces. Free bet stakes are not returned as part of the settlement of successful free bets. With professional punters and expert analysts across a variety of sports including Horse Racing, NRL, AFL, NBA, NFL, Golf and more; there’s a membership for everyone. The punk legends return with their first studio album in 35 years, featuring reworked fan favorites as well as all-new material. Bandcamp New & Notable Sep 22, 2020, Smart, lean synth-punk for difficult, chaotic times. Below each scenario we have provided the mathematical formula for how to calculate the probability. A true long-shot! Implied odds is the relationship between the size of the current pot and the pot you're expected to win. The probability of hitting at least one set (i.e. Harris is an early Heisman contender as he currently is at +1600 odds to win the Heisman. Updated 12:05 PM ET, Thu November 5, 2020. In College Football, typically you need to either go undefeated and/or lose only one game to make the four-team playoffs. Over 500 hands the probability of not hitting a single set drops to only 3%. September 24. This MLB Longshot Could Cash in as World Series Champions at +4300 Odds, New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Props – Best Team and Player Prop Bets for SNF Week 9. Say you're drawing to a flush and have 9 outs - you have roughly 40% equity on the flop and 20% on the turn. As a matter of fact, if two players start out with two suited cards of the same suit, the odds of both flopping a flush are not as small as one might think. But with pocket kings there is always this nagging thought in the back of your head. At times, the lawsuits have contested ballots that number in the double digits, which would be hundreds, if not thousands, of votes shy of potentially swinging any state's result. On the river it's half of that - 9*2 (+2) = 20%. It has 68 digits and if you like tongue twisters, please try to pronounce it: 80 unvigintillion 658 vigintillion 175 novemdecillion 170 octodecillion 943 septendecillion 900 sexdecillion. - of hands, the single best poker hand -- the royal flush, hitting those bad beat jackpots is really, really unlikely, If you have aces heads-up, your opponent has aces as well, If you have aces at a full ring table, one opponent has aces as well, If you have kings heads-up, your opponent has aces, If you have kings at a full ring table, one opponent has aces, If you have queens heads-up, your opponent has kings or aces, If you have queens at a full ring table, at least one opponent has kings or aces, If you have a pair, you hit a set (trips) on the flop, If two players have pair, both flop a set, Heads-up both players are dealt a pair and flop a set, Two players at a 6-max-table are dealt a pair and both flop a set, Two players at a full ring table are dealt a pair and both flop a set, Three players at a 3-max-table are dealt and pair and all three flop a set, Three players at a 6-max-table are dealt and pair and all three flop a set, Three players at a full ring table are dealt and pair and all three flop a set, If you have a pair, you hit quads until the river, If two players have a pair, both hit quads until the river, Heads-up both players are dealt a pair and both hit quads, Two players at a 6-max-table are dealt a pair and both hit quads, Two players at a full ring table are dealt a pair and both hit quads, If you have suited cards, you flop a flush, If two players have suited cards, both flop a flush, If three players have suited cards, all three flop a flush, Heads-Up, both players are dealt suited cards and flop a flush, Two players at a 6-max-table are dealt suited cards and both flop a flush, Two players at a full ring table are dealt suited cards and both flop a flush, Three players at a 6-max-table are dealt suited cards and all three flop a flush, Three players at a full ring table are dealt suited cards and all three flop a flush, Being dealt no pocket pair over 100 hands, Being dealt no pocket pair over 200 hands, Being dealt no ace and no pocket pair over one full ring orbit, Being dealt no ace and no pocket pair over 25 hands, Being dealt no premium hand (A-K, JJ+) over 100 hands, One player makes a royal flush at a full ring table, Witnessing a royal flush over 100 hands at a full ring table, Witnessing a royal flush over 2500 hands at a full ring table, Witnessing two or more royal flushes over 100 hands at a full ring table, Hitting quad eights or better and lose (heads-up), Hitting quad eights or better and lose (6-max), Hitting quad eights or better and lose (full ring), Witnessing such a bad beat over 1,000 hands at a full ring table, Witnessing such a bad beat over 100,000 hands at a full ring table, Being dealt the exact same cards in a row at least once over 100 hands, Being dealt the exact same cards in a row at least once over 1,000 hands, Being dealt pocket aces twice in a row at least once over 100 hands, Being dealt pocket aces twice in a row at least once over 1,000 hands, Being dealt pocket aces twice in a row at least once over 34,000 hands, Being dealt pocket aces twice within one full ring orbit, Being dealt pocket aces three times within one full ring orbit, Being dealt pocket kings or better twice within one full ring orbit, Being dealt a premium hand (A-K, JJ+) twice within one full ring orbit, Being dealt a premium hand (A-K, JJ+) 10 or more times over 100 hands, 13c3 * 4^3 / 52c3 * 6c2 * 9 / 49c2 * 6/47c2, 13c3 * 4^3 / 52c3 * 9c2 * 9 / 49c2 * 6/47c2, 13c3 * 4^3 / 52c3 * 9 / 49c2 * 6 / 47c2 * 3 / 45c2, 13c3 * 4^3 / 52c3 * 6c3 * 9 / 49c2 * 6 / 47c2 * 3 / 45c2, 13c3 * 4^3 / 52c3 * 9c3 * 9 / 49c2 * 6 / 47c2 * 3 / 45c2, 13c2 * ( 4c2)^2 * 44 / 52c5 * 2 / 47c2 * 1 / 45c2, 13c2 * ( 4c2)^2 * 44 / 52c5 * 6c2 * 2 / 47c2 * 1 / 45c2, 13c2 * ( 4c2)^2 * 44 / 52c5 * 9c2 * 2 / 47c2 * 1 / 45c2, 13c3 * 4 / 52c3 * 10c2 / 49c2 * 8c2 / 47c2, 13c3 * 4 / 52c3 * 6c2 * 10c2 / 49c2 * 8c2 / 47c2, 13c3 * 4 / 52c3 * 9c2 * 10c2 / 49c2 * 8c2 / 47c2, 13c3 * 4 / 52c3 * 6c2 * 10c2 / 49c2 * 8c2 / 47c2 * 6c2 / 45c2, 13c3 * 4 / 52c3 * 9c2 * 10c2 / 49c2 * 8c2 / 47c2 * 6c2 / 45c2, ( 1 – 13 * 6 / 52c2 * (1 – 48c3 / 50c3) )^100, ( 1 – 13 * 6 / 52c2 * (1 – 48c3 / 50c3) )^500, ( 1 – 13 * 6 / 52c2 * (1 – 48c3 / 50c3) )^1000, 4 / 52c5 + 5 * 4 * 47 / 52c5 * 9 * 45 / 47c2 + 5c3 * 47c2 * 4 / 52c5 * 9 * 1 / 47c2, BinomDist(7;9;(1326 – 4 * 6-16) / 1326;1), BinomDist(90;100;(1326 – 4 * 6-16) / 1326;1), BinomDist(95;100;1 – 13 * 6 / 52c2 * (1 – 48c3 / 50c3);1), 52c5 * 47c20 * 17 * 15 * 13 * 11 * 9 * 7 * 5 * 3 * 1.